IMD Forecasts Extreme Heat: Increased Power Demand Expected
The IMD has forecasted extreme heat in India from April to June, predicting above-normal maximum temperatures and increased heatwave days, particularly in northwest India. Expectations are for peak electricity demand to rise by 9-10% due to heightened air conditioning usage, with potential impacts on crop yields and energy supply stability.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecasted extreme heat conditions from April to June, with significantly higher temperatures anticipated across central, eastern, and northwestern plains. Most regions in India are predicted to experience above-normal maximum temperatures during April while some areas in the west and east remain within normal ranges. The increase in temperature is expected to exacerbate water shortages and spike electricity demand as air conditioning usage rises.
IMD director general Mrutyunjay Mohapatra noted that many regions will encounter more heatwave days than usual, with projections indicating that specific areas in north and east India might face two to four additional heatwave days. Historically, the country averages four to seven heatwave days within this timeframe, but northwest India could see this number double compared to the usual five to six days.
Expected states for increased heatwave days include Rajasthan, Gujarat, Haryana, Punjab, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, and parts of Karnataka and Tamil Nadu. April’s maximum temperatures throughout most of India will be higher than average, while minimum temperatures are similarly predicted to exceed normal ranges.
Experts indicate a 9-10% rise in peak electricity demand this summer due to the expected increase in heatwave occurrences. In 2023, India’s peak electricity demand reached over 250 gigawatts (GW), driven mainly by heat stress linked with climate change, which could further threaten wheat crop yields. As temperatures rise, authorities may need to reconsider wheat export policies, and adjustments to import duties could follow.
Increased heat will also elevate coal consumption in power plants striving to maintain electrical supply, vital for reducing heat-related illnesses. With peak demand expected to climb to 270 GW, surpassing last year’s highs, policymakers have advised against maintenance shutdowns in power facilities during this critical period. Though coal stockpiles have seen a 16% rise, sustained distribution remains essential. Meanwhile, diesel demand may soar as residents seek cooler locations and diesel generators are employed in areas facing power outages.
The IMD’s warning of extreme heat between April and June highlights significant risks including increased heatwave occurrences, rising power demand, and potential impacts on agricultural yield. With peak electricity demand likely surpassing 270 GW, ensuring reliable power supply through increased coal usage and strategic maintenance planning becomes critical. The anticipated higher temperatures necessitate heightened preparedness to manage both energy needs and agricultural effects.
Original Source: www.hindustantimes.com
